Random waves and capsize probability based on large amplitude motion analysis

The objective of this paper is to apply a methodology aimed at the probabilistic capsize assessment of two naval ships: a frigate and a corvette. Use is made of combined knowledge of the wave and wind climate a ship will be exposed to during its lifetime and of the physical behavior of that ship in the various sea states it is likely to encounter. This includes the behavior in extreme wave conditions that have a small probability of occurrence, but which may be critical to the safe operation of a ship. Time domain simulations provide the basis for deriving short-term and long-term statistics for extreme roll angles. The numerical model is capable of predicting the 6 DOF behavior of a steered vessel in wind and waves, including conditions that may lead to broaching and capsizing.